Property price evolution in Luxembourg from 2015 to 2026
Real estate expert in Luxembourg
Over a decade, the Luxembourg property market has undergone major changes: a spectacular +80% increase between 2015 and 2022, followed by an unprecedented correction, then stabilization in 2025-2026.
Average prices per year (apartments, €/m²)
- 2015: ~€4,500/m² — The market is still accessible
- 2016: ~€4,900/m² (+8.9%)
- 2017: ~€5,300/m² (+8.2%)
- 2018: ~€5,800/m² (+9.4%)
- 2019: ~€6,400/m² (+10.3%)
- 2020: ~€7,200/m² (+12.5%) — Covid doesn't stop the rise
- 2021: ~€8,500/m² (+18.1%) — Peak growth, historically low rates
- 2022: ~€9,500/m² (+11.8%) — Market summit
- 2023: ~€8,800/m² (-7.4%) — Correction, ECB rate hikes
- 2024: ~€8,200/m² (-6.8%) — Continued correction
- 2025: ~€8,300/m² (+1.2%) — Stabilization begins
- 2026: ~€8,400/m² (+1.2%) — Stabilization confirmed
Four market phases (2015-2026)
Phase 1: Steady growth (2015-2019)
Prices rose 8-10% annually, driven by population growth (+2%/year), low interest rates (<2%), and insufficient supply.
Phase 2: The boom (2020-2022)
Despite Covid, prices surged: +12% in 2020, +18% in 2021. Near-zero rates and remote work amplified demand. Buyers purchased at listing price or above.
Phase 3: The correction (2023-2024)
The ECB raised rates from 0% to 4.5%. Mortgage rates went from 1.5% to 4%+. Transaction volume dropped 30%. Prices fell 12-15% from the mid-2022 peak.
Phase 4: Stabilization (2025-2026)
Mortgage rates stabilized around 3.2%. Transaction volume recovered (+3.2% in Q4 2025). Prices stabilized with a slight 1-2% increase. The property barometer confirms this trend.
Long-term factors
Demographics
Luxembourg grew from 563,000 in 2015 to 685,000 in 2026 (+22%), driving structural housing demand.
Housing supply
Construction never kept pace: 2,500-3,500 units built per year for an estimated need of 5,000-6,000.
Interest rates
The most influential factor. The correlation between rates and prices is near-mechanical.
Comparison with neighboring countries
- Luxembourg: €8,400/m² (national average)
- Paris: ~€9,500/m²
- Brussels: ~€3,200/m²
- Trier: ~€3,000/m²
- Metz: ~€2,400/m²
Outlook 2027+
Fundamentals remain solid. Analysts forecast moderate 2-4% annual growth for 2027-2030. For real-time data, see our price map and market barometer.
FAQ
Will property prices continue to fall in Luxembourg?
The correction is over. Prices stabilized in 2025-2026 with a slight 1-2% increase. Fundamentals support prices medium-term.
Is 2026 a good time to sell in Luxembourg?
The market is balanced: prices are stable, buyers are returning. It's a good time to sell, especially in spring.
How much has a property bought in 2022 lost?
A property bought at peak (mid-2022) lost about 12-15% by 2024. By 2026, this loss has reduced to 8-10% thanks to the recovery.
Is Luxembourg still a good property investment?
Long-term, yes. Despite the 2023-2024 correction, prices rose +80% over 10 years. The housing deficit and demographic growth support long-term value.
What are the data sources?
Data comes from STATEC, the Observatoire de l'Habitat, and the Banque centrale du Luxembourg.
By Sellect.lu
Sellect.lu is the leading platform for comparing real estate agencies in Luxembourg. Our team of experts analyzes the Luxembourg real estate market to provide you with reliable and up-to-date advice.
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